Tuesday, February 7, 2012

Reflections of Sunday: Spartans 64...Michigan 54

There was an overload of Super Bowl coverage yesterday so, I withheld my Spartan Blog until this morning.



If you watched the game between the Spartans and Wolverines on Sunday, then you know the final score wasn’t indicative of the Spartans dominance…and more importantly, a single stat tells ‘The’ story.



The most compelling stat of the game? Michigan collected 16 Rebounds as a team (no misprint) while Draymond Green of Michigan State collected 16 Rebounds in a solo effort! But wait…there’s more. The Spartans collected a total of 40 Rebounds including 28 Defensive Rebounds…and 12 Offensive Rebounds…which translates to an extraordinary 24 Rebound margin.



Let me repeat…24 Rebound Margin. That’s a staggering statistic. At any level of play (High School, College or Pros)…a plus 24 Rebound Margin transcends conventional Basketball thinking. Think about it? It’s nearly impossible to get a 24 Rebound margin in a 40 minute game. How is it possible to only gather 16 Rebounds while giving up 40? Let me know if you have an answer?



Needless to say, most of the statistics favored the Spartans but the Rebound Margin stands alone as the most telling stat.



Consequently, the outcome of the game was predictable. The Spartans were active on the floor and limited Michigan’s ability to penetrate the paint…and that relegated Michigan to becoming a ‘one dimensional’ perimeter team with a less than impressive result: 19 of 48 (39.6%) from the field…and 7 of 22 (31.8%) beyond the arc…and needless to say, those woeful statistics won’t win many Basketball games. It’s simple really, a team can’t win on jump shots alone. But Michigan tried.



And, as it relates to limiting Michigan opportunities in the paint, let’s give credit to where credit is due. The Spartan ‘Bigs’, namely Derrick Nix (6’9” and 270)…and Adreian Payne (6’10” & 240) took away the Wolverines inside opportunities. Payne and Nix aren’t flashy…and they don’t get big headlines…but when the Spartans capture a win, you can usually trace it back to great defensive work ‘down low’…compliments of Payne & Nix.



As for Michigan, I give them credit. Trey Burke and Tim Hardaway are good players… but Michigan is woefully short on talent inasmuch as 7 players got playing time but only 6 players got double digit minutes (and that’s their normal rotation) while the Spartans played their usual ‘deep bench’ and 10 players got playing time…8 players got double digit minutes…9 players scored…and most importantly, 9 players collected Rebounds (and that’s a normal rotation for the Spartans).



Dominant Rebounding is no surprise for the Spartans given the fact they are #1 in Big Ten Rebound Margin…and #3 Nationally…and when it’s all said and done, the best teams usually have the best rebound stats! Rebound Margin alone is not a guarantee for winning basketball games, but it sets the tempo for the game. It sets up ‘high’ percentage shots…and it takes away scoring opportunities for an opponent.



In the future, Michigan has to get better ‘down low’ if they are intent on competing for the Big Ten title. Rebounding is the ‘heart and soul’ of Basketball and it’s tantamount to running between the tackles…or stopping the run in football. Games are won in the trenches in football…and games are won in the ‘paint’ in basketball. If you’re not attacking the basket then you don’t get to the line. The Spartans went to the line 20 times Sunday compared to 12 for Michigan and in that aspect, the Spartans outscored the Wolverines 14-9 on the most simplistic play in Basketball.



It is well advertised that Michigan has an impressive recruiting class coming to Ann Arbor next fall…including a Big Center…but good recruits alone won’t resolve a team’s inability to rebound and play ‘game changing’ Defense. The Wolverines will add two or three highly prized recruits…but they lose Zack Novak and Stu Douglass  to graduation…both of whom play nearly 40 minutes per game and collectively contribute 25% of ‘M’ scoring and 23% of ‘M’ rebounding. But, more importantly, Beilein must change his Basketball philosophy.



 It’s worth remembering, players ‘play’ in the manner they’re coached…but 5 years into his tenure in Ann Arbor, John Beilein has yet to demonstrate that his teams have an appetite or an ability to ‘crash’ the glass or dominate in the paint. I think John Beilein is a good guy but he has to change the demeanor of his teams from ‘outside’ to ‘inside’ if he hopes to compete for the Big Ten title.



Meanwhile, if you’re penciling in your favorites to arrive at the Final Four…don’t overlook the Spartans!

Wednesday, February 1, 2012

Spartans lose at Illinois (ugly...Ugly...UGLY)

Sometimes things go bad…and when they do…you accept your fate…and move on!



Such was the case last night. The Spartans lost one of the less memorable games of the Big Ten season to Illinois 42-41 last night in Champaign. Yes indeed…not a misprint…83 points total. If the Spartans didn’t play sooo poorly then Illinois should have lost this game because they were equally as miserable…but the Spartans did play that poorly. They shot a miserable 14 of 58 (24%) from the field…3 of 14 (21%) beyond the Arc…and stumbled their way to 16 Turnovers.



On the other hand, how bad was Illinois? Bad enough to allow the Spartans to get 26 Defensive Rebounds and a whopping 49 Rebounds total.



Let’s give credit to Illinois, they beat Ohio State a couple weeks ago…they have good talent…and the Illini are well coached…but not this game! Perhaps you could give credit to the respective Defenses who ‘shut’ down’ most chances, but I think I’ll give credit to where credit is due…a bad night for both teams! Did I mention Illinois shot 53% from the stripe?



At any measure, the loss is in the record books but there is a bigger issue for the Spartans. It was a bad night for Draymond Green! Green was hampered by the Flu prior to the game and was clearly out of sync but uncharacteristically challenged a foul so he got pulled from the game…then he got in the ‘doghouse’ when he challenged Coach Izzo for the pull…so Izzo withheld him from the start of the second half…then Green injured his knee shortly after Izzo put him back into the game.



So, by any measure, it was not a good night. Green logged 16 minutes and got a meager 5 points. For a player like Green who ranks in the Top 10 (prior to the game) in Big Ten Scoring…Rebounding…Assists…Blocks…and flying the team Airplane…his injury is a major concern.



Hopefully, Green will recover quickly because the Spartans hope to hold serve when Michigan visits Breslin next Sunday!

Monday, January 30, 2012

UM at Ohio State

As the Big Ten moves into the second half of the season it appears Michigan is falling back into the pack.



It wasn’t especially a ‘break out’ day for Ohio State yesterday but they did everything that was required to dominate the Wolverines 64-49. And it would be fair to say, Ohio State demonstrated why they are one of the top teams in the Big Ten while Michigan demonstrated why they are likely to fall back into the pack. Short story: the Wolverines failed to demonstrate an appetite for taking the ball into the paint which means they were simply comfortable ‘jump shooting’ from the outside…and ‘jump shooting’ becomes a fickle friend against a team like Ohio State.



The Wolverines shot a meager 8 of 25 (32%) beyond the arc…and 19 of 53 (36%) from the Field. Moreover, due to their reluctance to take the ball to the glass, the Wolverines only got to the stripe 4 times…and that’s not a good recipe for winning Basketball games in the Big Ten considering that Ohio State was 15 of 18 (83%) at the stripe.



On the other hand, the Wolverines didn’t help themselves on the Defensive end either. Yesterday, I highlighted Michigan’s problematic’ defensive stats and it becomes clear that a savvy team like Ohio State doesn’t need a remedial lesson in Offense to understand how to exploit the Wolverine defensive shortcomings. Based upon National Rankings (see below), Michigan is amongst the ‘weakest’ in the country in critical defensive stats and those stats make it easy to understand why Ohio State controlled the game for all but the first 10 minutes.



Michigan (National Rankings)

·         #121 Rebound Margin                   2.3

·         #140 in Defensive FG%                  42%

·         #282 Blocks per game                    2.4

·         #314 Steals per game                     4.9



In summary, as the Big Ten moves into the second half of the season…the Wolverines need to dramatically improve their appetite for Defense otherwise, they will simply fall back into the pack. They get another opportunity next Sunday when they play the Spartans in East Lansing. Are Michigan Defensive stats an aberration?



We’ll see!


Team
1
2
Score
Michigan
21
28
49
Ohio State
24
40
64


Officials: Ted Valentine, John Higgins, Tim Clougherty
Attendance: 18809
Michigan
MIN
FG
FGA
3P
3PA
FT
FTA
OR
DR
TOT
A
PF
ST
TO
BL
PTS
Jordan Morgan
23
4
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
5
0
4
1
1
0
8
Zack Novak
33
0
4
0
1
0
0
2
2
4
0
4
0
1
0
0
Stu Douglass
31
3
9
1
5
0
0
0
2
2
1
1
1
3
0
7
Trey Burke
39
5
11
3
6
0
0
0
1
1
5
1
2
5
0
13
Tim Hardaway Jr
38
5
12
2
7
3
4
1
4
5
3
1
1
2
1
15
Matt Vogrich
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
Blake McLimans
8
1
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
Evan Smotrycz
18
1
6
1
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
0
1
0
3
Colton Christian
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
TEAM
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
3
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
TEAM TOTALS
200
19
53
8
25
3
4
10
19
29
10
16
5
13
1
49
PERCENTAGES
FG: 35.8%
3PT: 32%
FT: 75%
TOTAL TO: 13
Ohio State
MIN
FG
FGA
3P
3PA
FT
FTA
OR
DR
TOT
A
PF
ST
TO
BL
PTS
Jared Sullinger
28
5
11
0
1
3
3
1
4
5
1
4
1
1
1
13
Deshaun Thomas
35
4
9
1
5
3
4
2
3
5
1
3
0
1
0
12
Aaron Craft
36
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
2
2
2
1
7
Lenzelle Smith Jr.
33
6
12
0
2
5
5
8
4
12
1
2
0
0
0
17
William Buford
39
5
13
1
5
1
1
1
4
5
2
1
1
6
0
12
Shannon Scott
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
Sam Thompson
9
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
J.D. Weatherspoon
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Evan Ravenel
14
0
2
0
0
3
4
2
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
TEAM
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
TEAM TOTALS
200
23
54
3
15
15
18
14
24
38
10
13
6
11
2
64
PERCENTAGES
FG: 42.6%
3PT: 20%
FT: 83.3%
TOTAL TO: 11